Matteo Berrettini vs. Kyrian Jacquet prediction, odds, picks for ATP Lyon Open 2026

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Tuesday's Berrettini-Jacquet men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Berrettini a 58% chance of beating Jacquet at the ATP Lyon Open tournament. Additionally, Berrettini has a 57% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Berrettini (-1.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 25.5 games has a 60% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Kyrian Jacquet +120, Matteo Berrettini -142
• First Set: Berrettini -152, Jacquet +120

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Berrettini @ -142 via DraftKings
• First Set: Jacquet @ -135 via DraftKings

According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is Matteo Berrettini to win the first set.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Lyon Open match between Matteo Berrettini and Kyrian Jacquet is scheduled to commence on Tuesday at 1:25 PM ET.

• Who: Matteo Berrettini vs. Kyrian Jacquet
• Date: Tuesday, October 20, 2026
• Approx. Time: 1:25 PM ET/10:25 AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Lyon, France Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 32

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Matteo Berrettini, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat Kyrian Jacquet at the ATP Lyon Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.