Matteo Berrettini vs. Stan Wawrinka prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2026

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's Berrettini-Wawrinka men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Berrettini an 82% chance of beating Wawrinka in the US Open 2026.

Matteo Berrettini vs. Stan Wawrinka odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Stan Wawrinka +360, Matteo Berrettini -476

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Berrettini vs. Wawrinka picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Berrettini @ -476 via DraftKings
• First Set: Wawrinka @ -135 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 40.5 total games.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Berrettini vs. Wawrinka updates and essential details

The US Open 2026 match between Matteo Berrettini and Stan Wawrinka is scheduled to start on Monday at 1:20 PM ET.

• Who: Matteo Berrettini vs. Stan Wawrinka
• Date: Monday, August 31, 2026
• Approx. Time: 1:20 PM ET/10:20AM PT
• Tournament: US Open Men's Singles 2026
• Round: First round

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Matteo Berrettini, with an 82% win probability, will likely beat Stan Wawrinka at the US Open 2026.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.