Matteo Berrettini vs. Stan Wawrinka prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2026

Matteo Berrettini and Stan Wawrinka will meet in the first round of the US Open 2026 on Monday.

Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Matteo Berrettini as the most likely winner in this Berrettini vs. Wawrinka prediction.

This article offers further insights into Monday's match, including best bets and picks.

Berrettini vs. Wawrinka prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Monday's Berrettini-Wawrinka men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Berrettini an 82% chance of winning against Wawrinka in the US Open 2026.

Matteo Berrettini vs. Stan Wawrinka odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Stan Wawrinka +360, Matteo Berrettini -422

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Berrettini vs. Wawrinka picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Berrettini @ -422 via DraftKings
• First Set: Wawrinka @ -125 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Matteo Berrettini to win the first set.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Berrettini vs. Wawrinka updates and essential details

The US Open 2026 match between Matteo Berrettini and Stan Wawrinka is scheduled to begin on Monday at 2:00 PM ET.

• Who: Matteo Berrettini vs. Stan Wawrinka
• Date: Monday, August 31, 2026
• Approx. Time: 2:00 PM ET/11:00AM PT
• Tournament: US Open Men's Singles 2026
• Round: First round

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Matteo Berrettini, with an 82% win probability, will likely beat Stan Wawrinka at the US Open 2026.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.