Nikola Bartunkova vs. Tatjana Maria prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2026

Nikola Bartunkova will take on Tatjana Maria in the second round of the US Open Women's Singles 2026 on Thursday.

Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Nikola Bartunkova as the most likely winner in this Bartunkova vs. Maria prediction.

This article offers a closer look at Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.

Bartunkova vs. Maria prediction and odds

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's Bartunkova-Maria women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Bartunkova a 68% chance of beating Maria in the US Open 2026.

Additionally, Bartunkova has a 64% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Bartunkova (-3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the **over/under of 21.5 games has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Tatjana Maria +215, Nikola Bartunkova -250
• First Set: Bartunkova -200, Maria +162

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Maria @ +215 via DraftKings
• First Set: Maria @ -111 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Tatjana Maria to win.

Although Maria is less than likely to win, she provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The US Open 2026 match between Nikola Bartunkova and Tatjana Maria is scheduled to start on Thursday at 2:30 PM ET.

• Who: Nikola Bartunkova vs. Tatjana Maria
• Date: Thursday, September 3, 2026
• Approx. Time: 2:30 PM ET/11:30AM PT
• Tournament: US Open Women's Singles 2026
• Round: Second round

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Nikola Bartunkova, with a 68% win probability, will likely beat Tatjana Maria at the US Open 2026.

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