Rinky Hijikata vs. Andrey Rublev prediction, odds, picks for ATP Hangzhou Open 2026

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Friday's Hijikata-Rublev men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Rublev a 71% chance of winning against Hijikata at the ATP Hangzhou Open tournament. Additionally, Rublev has a 66% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Rublev (-3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 56% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Andrey Rublev -280, Rinky Hijikata +249
• First Set: Hijikata +175, Rublev -227

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Hijikata @ +249 via DraftKings
• First Set: Rublev @ -130 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 22.5 total games.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Hangzhou Open match between Rinky Hijikata and Andrey Rublev is scheduled to begin on Friday at 6:00 AM ET.

• Who: Rinky Hijikata vs. Andrey Rublev
• Date: Friday, September 25, 2026
• Approx. Time: 6:00 AM ET/3:00AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Hangzhou, China Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 16

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Andrey Rublev, with a 71% win probability, will likely beat Rinky Hijikata at the ATP Hangzhou Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.