Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Arthur Fils prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2026

Stefanos Tsitsipas will square off with Arthur Fils in the first round of the US Open Men's Singles 2026 on Monday.

Dimers' proven tennis model projects Arthur Fils as the most likely winner in this Tsitsipas vs. Fils prediction.

This article offers further insights into Monday's match, including best bets and picks.

Tsitsipas vs. Fils prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Monday's Tsitsipas-Fils men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Fils a 79% chance of defeating Tsitsipas in the US Open 2026.

Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Arthur Fils odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Arthur Fils -450, Stefanos Tsitsipas +391

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Tsitsipas vs. Fils picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Tsitsipas @ +391 via DraftKings
• First Set: Fils @ -135 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 37.5 total games.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Tsitsipas vs. Fils updates and essential details

The US Open 2026 match between Stefanos Tsitsipas and Arthur Fils is scheduled to begin on Monday at 11:00 AM ET.

• Who: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Arthur Fils
• Date: Monday, August 31, 2026
• Approx. Time: 11:00 AM ET/8:00AM PT
• Tournament: US Open Men's Singles 2026
• Round: First round

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Arthur Fils, with a 79% win probability, will likely beat Stefanos Tsitsipas at the US Open 2026.

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