Tatjana Maria vs. Jelena Ostapenko prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2026

Tatjana Maria will take on Jelena Ostapenko in the first round of the US Open Women's Singles 2026 on Tuesday.

Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Jelena Ostapenko as the most likely winner in this Maria vs. Ostapenko prediction.

This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's match, including best bets and picks.

Maria vs. Ostapenko prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's Maria-Ostapenko women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Ostapenko a 56% chance of defeating Maria in the US Open 2026.

Tatjana Maria vs. Jelena Ostapenko odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Jelena Ostapenko -144, Tatjana Maria +125

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Maria vs. Ostapenko picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Maria @ +125 via DraftKings
• First Set: Ostapenko @ -118 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Tatjana Maria to win.

Although Maria is less than likely to win, she provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Maria vs. Ostapenko updates and essential details

The US Open 2026 match between Tatjana Maria and Jelena Ostapenko is scheduled to commence on Tuesday at 6:00 PM ET.

• Who: Tatjana Maria vs. Jelena Ostapenko
• Date: Tuesday, September 1, 2026
• Approx. Time: 6:00 PM ET/3:00PM PT
• Tournament: US Open Women's Singles 2026
• Round: First round

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Jelena Ostapenko, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat Tatjana Maria at the US Open 2026.

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