Taylor Fritz vs. Francisco Cerundolo prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2026

Taylor Fritz will take on Francisco Cerundolo in the third round of the US Open Men's Singles 2026 on Saturday.

Dimers' proven tennis model projects Taylor Fritz as the most likely winner in this Fritz vs. Cerundolo prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

Fritz vs. Cerundolo prediction and odds

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Fritz-Cerundolo men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Fritz an 86% chance of defeating Cerundolo in the US Open 2026.

Additionally, Fritz has a 78% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Fritz (-6.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 35.5 games has a 59% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Francisco Cerundolo +570, Taylor Fritz -769
• First Set: Fritz -357, Cerundolo +275

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Cerundolo @ +570 via DraftKings
• First Set: Cerundolo @ -128 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 35.5 total games.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The US Open 2026 match between Taylor Fritz and Francisco Cerundolo is scheduled to start on Saturday at 11:30 AM ET.

• Who: Taylor Fritz vs. Francisco Cerundolo
• Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026
• Approx. Time: 11:30 AM ET/8:30AM PT
• Tournament: US Open Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Third round

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Taylor Fritz, with an 86% win probability, will likely beat Francisco Cerundolo at the US Open 2026.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.