Tennis bets today: Six picks for Friday ft. Tabilo vs. Shelton [7/31/2026]

ATP Washington Open: Ben Shelton -3.5 (+110)

• Edge: 5.1%
• Probability: 52.7%
• Matchup: Alejandro Tabilo vs. Ben Shelton (8:00PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Ben Shelton -3.5 at +110 odds in their matchup at ATP Washington Open. A 52.7% probability produces an edge of 5.1%, making this the strongest play for today's tennis slate.

ATP Washington Open: Alex Michelsen ML (+192)

• Edge: 3.8%
• Probability: 38%
• Matchup: Taylor Fritz vs. Alex Michelsen (3:10PM ET)

At ATP Washington Open, Alex Michelsen ML carries a 3.8% edge and a probability of 38% at +192 odds, according to our model.

ATP Los Cabos Open: Coleman Wong ML (+124)

• Edge: 3.4%
• Probability: 48%
• Matchup: Coleman Wong vs. Arthur Gea (10:30PM ET)

Coleman Wong ML at +124 odds shows a 3.4% edge, supported by a 48% probability in simulations of the ATP Los Cabos Open match.

ATP Washington Open: Lorenzo Musetti +3.5 (-126)

• Edge: 2.8%
• Probability: 58.6%
• Matchup: Rafael Jodar vs. Lorenzo Musetti (6:00PM ET)

A 2.8% edge and 58.6% probability makes Lorenzo Musetti +3.5 vs. Rafael Jodar a value play in the Rafael Jodar vs. Lorenzo Musetti matchup, per our model.

ATP Washington Open: Lorenzo Musetti ML (+172)

• Edge: 2.5%
• Probability: 39.2%
• Matchup: Rafael Jodar vs. Lorenzo Musetti (6:00PM ET)

Lorenzo Musetti ML at +172 odds presents a 2.5% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 39.2%.

ATP Washington Open: Ben Shelton vs. Alejandro Tabilo Under 23.5 total games (-130)

• Edge: 2.2%
• Probability: 58.8%
• Matchup: Alejandro Tabilo vs. Ben Shelton (8:00PM ET)

Our model finds value on Under 23.5 total games in Alejandro Tabilo vs. Ben Shelton at -130 odds at ATP Brisbane, supported by an edge of 2.2%.

Tennis best bets summary: Friday, 7/31/2026

As of 9:16AM ET, here are our top tennis bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming tennis matches to bet on now

• WTA Washington: Anna Kalinskaya vs. Jessica Pegula (12:00PM ET, Friday)
• WTA Memphis: Peyton Stearns vs. Elvina Kalieva (1:10PM ET, Friday)
• WTA Washington: Naomi Osaka vs. Elisabetta Cocciaretto (2:00PM ET, Friday)
• ATP Washington: Brandon Nakashima vs. Alex de Minaur (2:00PM ET, Friday)
• WTA Memphis: Renata Zarazua vs. Anastasia Zakharova (2:20PM ET, Friday)
• ATP Washington: Alex Michelsen vs. Taylor Fritz (3:10PM ET, Friday)
• WTA Washington: Liudmila Samsonova vs. Diana Shnaider (3:10PM ET, Friday)
• ATP Washington: Lorenzo Musetti vs. Rafael Jodar (6:00PM ET, Friday)
• WTA Washington: Elina Svitolina vs. Alexandra Eala (6:30PM ET, Friday)
• WTA Memphis: Katie Volynets vs. Darja Vidmanova (7:00PM ET, Friday)

Conclusion

Our tennis best bets are locked and loaded for July 31, 2026, featuring plays such as Ben Shelton -3.5 vs. Alejandro Tabilo and Alex Michelsen ML. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.