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Read Article US Open bets today: Five picks for Sunday ft. Shelton vs. Tsitsipas [9/6/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get US Open predictions and picks for Sunday, September 6, 2026.
Today’s US Open picks for September 6, 2026 are here, with Ben Shelton vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas among the top plays identified by our model across Sunday’s tennis slate.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, scanning the latest tennis odds to unearth real betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of US Open picks today [9/6, updated 1:11AM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s US Open best bets, ranked by edge for Sunday, September 6, 2026.
US Open Men Singles 2026: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Ben Shelton Under 41.5 total games (-128)
- Edge: 6.6%
- Probability: 62.8%
- Matchup: Ben Shelton vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas (7:00PM ET)
Our model has identified value on Under 41.5 total games in Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Ben Shelton at -128 odds in their matchup at US Open Men Singles 2026. A 62.8% probability produces an edge of 6.6%, making this the strongest play for today's tennis slate.
US Open Men Singles 2026: Ben Shelton -4.5 (-105)
- Edge: 4.4%
- Probability: 55.6%
- Matchup: Ben Shelton vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas (7:00PM ET)
At US Open Men Singles 2026, Ben Shelton -4.5 carries a 4.4% edge and a probability of 55.6% at -105 odds, according to our model.
US Open Men Singles 2026: Tomas Etcheverry vs. Alex Michelsen Under 38.5 total games (-120)
- Edge: 4.2%
- Probability: 58.9%
- Matchup: Alex Michelsen vs. Tomas Etcheverry (2:30PM ET)
Tomas Etcheverry vs. Alex Michelsen Under 38.5 total games at -120 odds shows a 4.2% edge, supported by a 58.9% probability in simulations of the US Open Men Singles 2026 match.
US Open Men Singles 2026: Carlos Alcaraz vs. Tommy Paul under 36.5 total games (-130)
- Edge: 3.8%
- Probability: 60.4%
- Matchup: Tommy Paul vs. Carlos Alcaraz (2:00PM ET)
A 3.8% edge and 60.4% probability make Carlos Alcaraz vs. Tommy Paul under 36.5 total games a value play in the Tommy Paul vs. Carlos Alcaraz matchup, per our model.
US Open Women Singles 2026: Emma Navarro vs. Anna Kalinskaya Under 23.5 total games (-140)
- Edge: 2.0%
- Probability: 60.4%
- Matchup: Anna Kalinskaya vs. Emma Navarro (8:40PM ET)
Emma Navarro vs. Anna Kalinskaya Under 23.5 total games at -140 odds presents a 2.0% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 60.4%.
US Open best bets summary: Sunday, 9/6/2026
As of 1:11AM ET, here are our top US Open bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shelton vs. Tsitsipas | Under 41.5 total games | -128 @ BetMGM | 6.6% | 62.8% |
| Shelton vs. Tsitsipas | Ben Shelton -4.5 | -105 @ Caesars | 4.4% | 55.6% |
| Michelsen vs. Etcheverry | Under 38.5 Total Games | -120 @ BetMGM | 4.2% | 58.9% |
| Paul vs. Alcaraz | Under 36.5 total games | -130 @ DraftKings | 3.8% | 60.4% |
| Kalinskaya vs. Navarro | Under 23.5 Total Games | -140 @ DraftKings | 2.0% | 60.4% |
List of upcoming US Open matches to bet on now
- US Open Women Singles: Taylor Townsend vs. Aryna Sabalenka (11:30AM ET, Sunday)
- US Open Women Singles: Linda Noskova vs. Marta Kostyuk (12:30PM ET, Sunday)
- US Open Men Singles: Carlos Alcaraz vs. Tommy Paul (2:00PM ET, Sunday)
- US Open Men Singles: Tomas Etcheverry vs. Alex Michelsen (2:30PM ET, Sunday)
- US Open Men Singles: Frances Tiafoe vs. Daniil Medvedev (3:00PM ET, Sunday)
- US Open Women Singles: Sorana Cirstea vs. Jessica Pegula (4:40PM ET, Sunday)
- US Open Men Singles: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Ben Shelton (7:00PM ET, Sunday)
- US Open Women Singles: Emma Navarro vs. Anna Kalinskaya (8:40PM ET, Sunday)
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Conclusion
Our US Open best bets are locked and loaded for September 6, 2026, featuring plays such as under 41.5 total games in the Ben Shelton vs. Ben Shelton matchup and Ben Shelton -4.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are rooted in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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