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Read Article Tommy Paul vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina prediction, odds, picks for ATP Cinch Championships 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Paul vs Davidovich Fokina predictions for ATP Cinch Championships.
Tommy Paul will face Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the quarterfinals at the ATP London event on Friday.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Tommy Paul as the most likely winner of the Paul vs. Davidovich Fokina match.
This article offers further insights into Friday's match, including best bets and picks.
Paul vs. Davidovich Fokina prediction: Who will win and advance to the semifinals?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's Paul-Davidovich Fokina men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives Paul a 69% chance of winning against Davidovich Fokina at the ATP Cinch Championships tournament.
Additionally, Paul has a 66% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show that the bookmakers have got it right with the +3.5 games spread, with each player projected to have a 50-50 chance of covering, while the under 22.5 games has a 53% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Tommy Paul vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Paul | Davidovich Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -235 | +200 |
| First Set | -200 | +162 |
| Game Spread | -3.5 (-108) | +3.5 (-126) |
| Total Games | o22.5 (-118) | u22.5 (-112) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Paul vs. Davidovich Fokina picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Paul | -235 |
| First Set | Davidovich Fokina | -112 |
According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is Tommy Paul to win the first set.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Paul vs. Davidovich Fokina updates and essential details
The ATP Cinch Championships match between Tommy Paul and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is scheduled to start on Friday at 12:00 PM ET.
- Who: Tommy Paul vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
- Date: Friday, June 19, 2026
- Approx. Time: 12:00 PM ET/9:00AM PT
- Tournament: ATP London, Great Britain Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Quarterfinals
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Tommy Paul, with a 69% win probability, will likely beat Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at the ATP Cinch Championships tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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