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Read Article Yibing Wu vs. Carlos Alcaraz prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2026
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Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Wu vs Alcaraz predictions for US Open 2026.
Yibing Wu and Carlos Alcaraz are scheduled to meet in the third round of the US Open 2026 on Friday.
Dimers' proven tennis model projects Carlos Alcaraz as the most likely winner in this Wu vs. Alcaraz prediction.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's match, including best bets and picks.
Wu vs. Alcaraz prediction and odds
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's Wu-Alcaraz men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives Alcaraz a 93% chance of winning against Wu in the US Open 2026.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
- Moneyline: Carlos Alcaraz -1887, Yibing Wu +1060
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Wu @ +1060 via DraftKings
- First Set: Alcaraz @ -128 via DraftKings
According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is over 32.5 total games.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & first serve details
The US Open 2026 match between Yibing Wu and Carlos Alcaraz is scheduled to start on Friday at 1:00 PM ET.
- Who: Yibing Wu vs. Carlos Alcaraz
- Date: Friday, September 4, 2026
- Approx. Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Tournament: US Open Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Third round
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Carlos Alcaraz, with a 93% win probability, will likely beat Yibing Wu at the US Open 2026.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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