Arkansas State vs. Alabama prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 6, 2026

Alabama is favored to beat Arkansas State at Coleman Coliseum on Friday (7:30 PM ET), according to Dimers' men's college basketball model.

Our Arkansas State vs. Alabama prediction gives the Red Wolves a 97.3% chance of winning, while the latest odds suggest there's betting value on the under 175.5 points.

Arkansas State vs. Alabama key predictions

• Predicted score: Alabama 96-70 Arkansas State
• Alabama win probability: 97.3%
• Arkansas State win probability: 2.7%
• Alabama -25.5 spread: 50.4% cover probability
• Under 175.5 points: 53.8% probability

Our men's college basketball predictions project each team's final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.

Arkansas State vs. Alabama odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• Arkansas State moneyline: +4000 (FanDuel)
• Alabama moneyline: -10000 (BetMGM)
• Arkansas State +25.5: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Alabama -25.5: -105 (BetMGM)
• Over 175.5 points: -109 (BetRivers)
• Under 175.5 points: -105 (FanDuel)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Arkansas State vs. Alabama pick: Under 175.5 (-105)

Our model makes Alabama the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the under 175.5 total points at -105 on FanDuel.

Those odds give the under an implied probability of 51.2%, while our model puts it at 53.8%.

That's a 2.6% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

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Arkansas State vs. Alabama game details

• Matchup: Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
• Date: Friday, November 6, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET
• Venue: Coleman Coliseum

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our men's college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.