Cal Poly vs. Montana State prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 15, 2026

Montana State is favored to beat Cal Poly at Worthington Arena on Sunday (6:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' men's college basketball model.

Our Cal Poly vs. Montana State prediction gives Cal Poly a 73.5% chance of winning, while the latest odds suggest there's betting value on the under 164.5 points.

Cal Poly vs. Montana State key predictions

• Predicted score: Montana State 83-75 Cal Poly
• Montana State win probability: 73.5%
• Cal Poly win probability: 26.5%
• Montana State -6.5 spread: 55.0% cover probability
• Under 164.5 points: 56.2% probability

Our men's college basketball predictions project each team's final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.

Cal Poly vs. Montana State odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• Cal Poly moneyline: +245 (FanDuel)
• Montana State moneyline: -278 (BetRivers)
• Cal Poly +6.5: -105 (DraftKings)
• Montana State -6.5: -107 (BetRivers)
• Over 164.5 points: -115 (FanDuel)
• Under 164.5 points: -105 (FanDuel)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Cal Poly vs. Montana State pick: Under 164.5 (-105)

Our model makes Montana State the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the under 164.5 total points at -105 on FanDuel.

Those odds give the under an implied probability of 51.2%, while our model puts it at 56.2%.

That's a 5.0% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

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Cal Poly vs. Montana State game details

• Matchup: Cal Poly vs. Montana State Bobcats
• Date: Sunday, November 15, 2026
• Time: 6:00 PM ET
• Venue: Worthington Arena

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our men's college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.