Chattanooga vs. Penn State prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 5, 2026

Penn State is favored to beat Chattanooga at Bryce Jordan Center on Thursday (6:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' men's college basketball model.

Our Chattanooga vs. Penn State prediction gives Penn State an 86.5% chance of winning, while the latest odds suggest there's betting value on the under 158.5 points.

Chattanooga vs. Penn State key predictions

• Predicted score: Penn State 84-72 Chattanooga
• Penn State win probability: 86.5%
• Chattanooga win probability: 13.5%
• Chattanooga +15.5 spread: 56.1% cover probability
• Under 158.5 points: 54.3% probability

Our men's college basketball predictions project each team's final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.

Chattanooga vs. Penn State odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• Chattanooga moneyline: +750 (DraftKings)
• Penn State moneyline: -1000 (BetRivers)
• Chattanooga +15.5: -162 (BetRivers)
• Penn State -15.5: +130 (BetRivers)
• Over 158.5 points: -113 (BetRivers)
• Under 158.5 points: -110 (BetRivers)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Chattanooga vs. Penn State pick: Under 158.5 (-110)

Our model makes Penn State the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the under 158.5 total points at -110 on BetRivers.

Those odds give the under an implied probability of 52.4%, while our model puts it at 54.3%.

That's a 2.0% edge (accounting for rounding), the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

Get every Chattanooga vs. Penn State prediction with Dimers Pro

Dimers Pro members get full access to our Chattanooga vs. Penn State predictions, including:

• Best bets across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets
• Player prop edges for points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers, steals, and blocks

Chattanooga vs. Penn State game details

• Matchup: Chattanooga Mocs vs. Penn State Nittany Lions
• Date: Thursday, November 5, 2026
• Time: 6:00 PM ET
• Venue: Bryce Jordan Center

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our men's college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.