Northern Kentucky vs. South Dakota prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 4, 2026

Northern Kentucky is favored to beat South Dakota at Sanford Coyote Sports Center on Wednesday (8:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' men's college basketball model.

Our Northern Kentucky vs. South Dakota prediction gives Northern Kentucky a 57.8% chance of winning, while the latest odds suggest the best betting value is on the under 162 points.

Northern Kentucky vs. South Dakota key predictions

• Predicted score: Northern Kentucky 81-79 South Dakota
• Northern Kentucky win probability: 57.8%
• South Dakota win probability: 42.2%
• South Dakota +2.5 spread: 50.9% cover probability
• Under 162 points: 52.6% probability

Our men's college basketball predictions project each team's final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.

Northern Kentucky vs. South Dakota odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• Northern Kentucky moneyline: -142 (FanDuel)
• South Dakota moneyline: +124 (DraftKings)
• Northern Kentucky -2.5: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• South Dakota +2.5: -108 (DraftKings)
• Over 162 points: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Under 162 points: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Northern Kentucky vs. South Dakota pick: Under 162 (-110)

Our model makes Northern Kentucky the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the under 162 total points at -110 on Caesars Sportsbook.

Those odds give the under an implied probability of 52.4%, while our model puts it at 52.6%.

That's a 0.2% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

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Northern Kentucky vs. South Dakota game details

• Matchup: Northern Kentucky Norse vs. South Dakota
• Date: Wednesday, November 4, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET
• Venue: Sanford Coyote Sports Center

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our men's college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

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