South Dakota State vs. Kansas State prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 3, 2026

Kansas State is favored to beat South Dakota State at Bramlage Coliseum on Tuesday (8:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' men's college basketball model.

Our South Dakota State vs. Kansas State prediction gives Kansas State an 82.8% chance of winning, while the latest odds suggest the best betting value is on the under 158.5 points.

South Dakota State vs. Kansas State key predictions

• Predicted score: Kansas State 82-71 South Dakota State
• Kansas State win probability: 82.8%
• South Dakota State win probability: 17.2%
• South Dakota State +11.5 spread: 54.1% cover probability
• Under 158.5 points: 56.3% probability

Our men's college basketball predictions project each team's final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.

South Dakota State vs. Kansas State odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• South Dakota State moneyline: +490 (DraftKings)
• Kansas State moneyline: -625 (BetRivers)
• South Dakota State +11.5: -115 (BetMGM)
• Kansas State -11.5: -105 (BetMGM)
• Over 158.5 points: -110 (FanDuel)
• Under 158.5 points: -105 (BetMGM)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

South Dakota State vs. Kansas State pick: Under 158.5 (-105)

Our model makes Kansas State the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the under 158.5 total points at -105 on BetMGM.

Those odds give the under an implied probability of 51.2%, while our model puts it at 56.3%.

That's a 5.1% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

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South Dakota State vs. Kansas State game details

• Matchup: South Dakota State vs. Kansas State
• Date: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET
• Venue: Bramlage Coliseum

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our men's college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.