Fresno State vs. UC San Diego prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 7, 2026

UC San Diego is favored to beat Fresno State at LionTree Arena on Saturday (10:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' men's college basketball model.

Our Fresno State vs. UC San Diego prediction gives Fresno State an 83.2% chance of winning, while the latest odds suggest there's betting value on the over 151.5 points.

Fresno State vs. UC San Diego key predictions

• Predicted score: UC San Diego 82-71 Fresno State
• UC San Diego win probability: 83.2%
• Fresno State win probability: 16.8%
• UC San Diego -10.5 spread: 51.4% cover probability
• Over 151.5 points: 53.5% probability

Our men's college basketball predictions project each team's final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.

Fresno State vs. UC San Diego odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• Fresno State moneyline: +470 (DraftKings)
• UC San Diego moneyline: -600 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Fresno State +10.5: -102 (DraftKings)
• UC San Diego -10.5: -110 (FanDuel)
• Over 151.5 points: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Under 151.5 points: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Fresno State vs. UC San Diego pick: Over 151.5 (-110)

Our model makes UC San Diego the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the over 151.5 total points at -110 on Caesars Sportsbook.

Those odds give the over an implied probability of 52.4%, while our model puts it at 53.5%.

That's a 1.2% edge (accounting for rounding), the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

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• Best bets across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets
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Fresno State vs. UC San Diego game details

• Matchup: Fresno State vs. UC San Diego
• Date: Saturday, November 7, 2026
• Time: 10:00 PM ET
• Venue: LionTree Arena

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our men's college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

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