Indiana State vs. Ball State prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 6, 2026

Ball State is favored to beat Indiana State at John E. Worthen Arena on Friday (7:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' men's college basketball model.

Our Indiana State vs. Ball State prediction gives the Sycamores a 55.2% chance of winning, but the latest odds suggest there's betting value on Indiana State to cover at +1.5.

Indiana State vs. Ball State key predictions

• Predicted score: Ball State 73-72 Indiana State
• Ball State win probability: 55.2%
• Indiana State win probability: 44.8%
• Indiana State +1.5 spread: 50.5% cover probability
• Under 147.5 points: 53.0% probability

Our men's college basketball predictions project each team's final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.

Indiana State vs. Ball State odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• Indiana State moneyline: +130 (DraftKings)
• Ball State moneyline: -152 (FanDuel)
• Indiana State +1.5: +108 (BetRivers)
• Ball State -1.5: -134 (BetRivers)
• Over 147.5 points: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Under 147.5 points: -105 (BetMGM)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Indiana State vs. Ball State pick: Indiana State +1.5 (+108)

Our model makes Ball State the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the Cardinals to cover the +1.5 spread at +108 on BetRivers.

Those odds give Indiana State an implied cover probability of 48.1%, while our model puts it at 50.5%.

That's a 2.4% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

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Indiana State vs. Ball State game details

• Matchup: Indiana State Sycamores vs. Ball State Cardinals
• Date: Friday, November 6, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• Venue: John E. Worthen Arena

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our men's college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

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