IU Indy vs. Morehead State prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 14, 2026

IU Indy is favored to beat Morehead State at Ellis T. Johnson Arena on Saturday (7:30 PM ET), according to Dimers' men's college basketball model.

Our IU Indy vs. Morehead State prediction gives IU Indy a 54.6% chance of winning, but the latest odds suggest there's betting value on Morehead State to cover at +1.5.

IU Indy vs. Morehead State key predictions

• Predicted score: IU Indy 78-76 Morehead State
• IU Indy win probability: 54.6%
• Morehead State win probability: 45.4%
• Morehead State +1.5 spread: 54.8% cover probability
• Under 158.5 points: 53.1% probability

Our men's college basketball predictions project each team's final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.

IU Indy vs. Morehead State odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets.

• IU Indy moneyline: -125 (DraftKings)
• Morehead State moneyline: +116 (BetRivers)
• IU Indy -1.5: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Morehead State +1.5: -105 (BetMGM)
• Over 158.5 points: -110 (FanDuel)
• Under 158.5 points: -105 (BetMGM)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

IU Indy vs. Morehead State pick: Morehead State +1.5 (-105)

Our model makes IU Indy the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the Eagles to cover the +1.5 spread at -105 on BetMGM.

Those odds give Morehead State an implied cover probability of 51.2%, while our model puts it at 54.8%.

That's a 3.5% edge (accounting for rounding), the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

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IU Indy vs. Morehead State game details

• Matchup: IU Indy vs. Morehead State Eagles
• Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET
• Venue: Ellis T. Johnson Arena

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our men's college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

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