Miami (FL) vs. Florida prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 2, 2026

Florida is favored to beat Miami (FL) at Benchmark International Arena on Monday (6:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' men's college basketball model.

Our Miami (FL) vs. Florida prediction gives Florida a 73.6% chance of winning, and the latest odds suggest there's betting value on Florida to cover at -6.5, too.

Miami (FL) vs. Florida key predictions

• Predicted score: Florida 81-74 Miami (FL)
• Florida win probability: 73.6%
• Miami (FL) win probability: 26.4%
• Florida -6.5 spread: 57.7% cover probability
• Under 158.5 points: 53.7% probability

Our men's college basketball predictions project each team's final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.

Miami (FL) vs. Florida odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• Miami (FL) moneyline: +190 (BetMGM)
• Florida moneyline: -205 (BetRivers)
• Miami (FL) +6.5: -130 (BetMGM)
• Florida -6.5: +105 (BetMGM)
• Over 158.5 points: -110 (DraftKings)
• Under 158.5 points: -105 (BetMGM)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Miami (FL) vs. Florida pick: Florida -6.5 (+105)

Our model makes Florida the likelier winner, and our best value bet is Florida to cover the -6.5 spread at +105 on BetMGM, too.

Those odds give Florida an implied cover probability of 48.8%, while our model puts it at 57.7%.

That's an 8.9% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

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• Best bets across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets
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Miami (FL) vs. Florida game details

• Matchup: Miami (FL) Hurricanes vs. Florida Gators
• Date: Monday, November 2, 2026
• Time: 6:00 PM ET
• Venue: Benchmark International Arena

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our men's college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.