Michigan vs. Connecticut prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 6, 2026

Connecticut is favored to beat Michigan at TD Garden on Friday (8:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' men's college basketball model.

Our Michigan vs. Connecticut prediction gives the Wolverines a 78.0% chance of winning, and the latest odds suggest there's betting value on Connecticut moneyline, too.

Michigan vs. Connecticut key predictions

• Predicted score: Connecticut 75-67 Michigan
• Connecticut win probability: 78.0%
• Michigan win probability: 22.0%
• Connecticut -7.5 spread: 50.9% cover probability
• Over 142.5 points: 53.2% probability

Our men's college basketball predictions project each team's final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.

Michigan vs. Connecticut odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• Michigan moneyline: +260 (BetMGM)
• Connecticut moneyline: -315 (BetRivers)
• Michigan +7.5: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Connecticut -7.5: -108 (BetRivers)
• Over 142.5 points: -105 (BetMGM)
• Under 142.5 points: -115 (BetMGM)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Michigan vs. Connecticut pick: Connecticut ML (-315)

Our model makes Connecticut the likelier winner, and our best value bet is the Wolverines moneyline at -315 on BetRivers, too.

Those odds give Connecticut an implied win probability of 75.9%, while our model puts it at 78.0%.

That's a 2.1% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

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Michigan vs. Connecticut game details

• Matchup: Michigan Wolverines vs. Connecticut Huskies
• Date: Friday, November 6, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET
• Venue: TD Garden

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our men's college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.