New Mexico State vs. UTEP prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 12, 2026

UTEP is favored to beat New Mexico State at Don Haskins Center on Thursday (9:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' men's college basketball model.

Our New Mexico State vs. UTEP prediction gives New Mexico State a 66.6% chance of getting the W, but the latest odds suggest there's betting value on New Mexico State to cover at +5.

New Mexico State vs. UTEP key predictions

• Predicted score: UTEP 74-70 New Mexico State
• UTEP win probability: 66.6%
• New Mexico State win probability: 33.4%
• New Mexico State +5 spread: 53.0% cover probability
• Under 145 points: 51.2% probability

Our men's college basketball predictions project each team's final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.

New Mexico State vs. UTEP odds

These are the best available prices across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets.

• New Mexico State moneyline: +180 (BetRivers)
• UTEP moneyline: -205 (FanDuel)
• New Mexico State +5: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• UTEP -5: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Over 145 points: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Under 145 points: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

New Mexico State vs. UTEP pick: New Mexico State +5 (-110)

Our model makes UTEP the more likely winner, but our best value bet is the Miners to cover the +5 spread at -110 on Caesars Sportsbook.

Those odds give New Mexico State an implied cover probability of 52.4%, while our model puts it at 53.0%.

That's a 0.7% edge (accounting for rounding), the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets.

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• Best bets across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets
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New Mexico State vs. UTEP game details

• Matchup: New Mexico State vs. UTEP Miners
• Date: Thursday, November 12, 2026
• Time: 9:00 PM ET
• Venue: Don Haskins Center

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our men's college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.