Xavier vs. Mississippi State prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 13, 2026

Xavier is favored to beat Mississippi State at Colonial Hall on Friday (9:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' men's college basketball model.

Our Xavier vs. Mississippi State prediction gives the Musketeers a 62.4% chance of winning, but the latest odds suggest there's betting value on Mississippi State to cover at +3.5.

Xavier vs. Mississippi State key predictions

• Predicted score: Xavier 80-77 Mississippi State
• Xavier win probability: 62.4%
• Mississippi State win probability: 37.6%
• Mississippi State +3.5 spread: 52.8% cover probability
• Under 161.5 points: 52.7% probability

Our men's college basketball predictions project each team's final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.

Xavier vs. Mississippi State odds

Here are the best available prices across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• Xavier moneyline: -175 (DraftKings)
• Mississippi State moneyline: +163 (BetRivers)
• Xavier -3.5: -115 (FanDuel)
• Mississippi State +3.5: -102 (BetMGM)
• Over 161.5 points: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Under 161.5 points: -108 (DraftKings)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Xavier vs. Mississippi State pick: Mississippi State +3.5 (-102)

Our model makes Xavier the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the Bulldogs to cover the +3.5 spread at -102 on BetMGM.

Those odds give Mississippi State an implied cover probability of 50.5%, while our model puts it at 52.8%.

That's a 2.3% edge, the biggest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this matchup.

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Xavier vs. Mississippi State game details

• Matchup: Xavier Musketeers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs
• Date: Friday, November 13, 2026
• Time: 9:00 PM ET
• Venue: Colonial Hall

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our men's college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.