New Mexico vs. Santa Clara prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 14, 2026

Santa Clara is favored to beat New Mexico at Leavey Center on Saturday (10:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' men's college basketball model.

Our New Mexico vs. Santa Clara prediction gives the Lobos a 52.9% chance of coming out on top, and the latest odds suggest there's betting value on Santa Clara to cover at +1.5, too.

New Mexico vs. Santa Clara key predictions

• Predicted score: Santa Clara 79-78 New Mexico
• Santa Clara win probability: 52.9%
• New Mexico win probability: 47.1%
• Santa Clara +1.5 spread: 57.9% cover probability
• Under 165.5 points: 55.1% probability

Our men's college basketball predictions project each team's final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.

New Mexico vs. Santa Clara odds

Below are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• New Mexico moneyline: -124 (BetRivers)
• Santa Clara moneyline: +105 (BetMGM)
• New Mexico -1.5: -106 (BetRivers)
• Santa Clara +1.5: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Over 165.5 points: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Under 165.5 points: -108 (DraftKings)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

New Mexico vs. Santa Clara pick: Santa Clara +1.5 (-110)

Our model makes Santa Clara the likelier winner, and our best value bet is the Lobos to cover the +1.5 spread at -110 on Caesars Sportsbook, too.

Those odds give Santa Clara an implied cover probability of 52.4%, while our model rates it at 57.9%.

That's a 5.5% edge, the biggest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets.

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New Mexico vs. Santa Clara game details

• Matchup: New Mexico Lobos vs. Santa Clara Broncos
• Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026
• Time: 10:00 PM ET
• Venue: Leavey Center

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our men's college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.