North Dakota State vs. San Francisco prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 6, 2026

San Francisco is favored to beat North Dakota State at War Memorial at the Sobrato Center on Friday (10:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' men's college basketball model.

Our North Dakota State vs. San Francisco prediction gives the Bison an 81.6% chance of winning, and the latest odds suggest there's betting value on San Francisco to cover at -8.5, too.

North Dakota State vs. San Francisco key predictions

• Predicted score: San Francisco 77-68 North Dakota State
• San Francisco win probability: 81.6%
• North Dakota State win probability: 18.4%
• San Francisco -8.5 spread: 54.8% cover probability
• Over 146.5 points: 50.0% probability

Our men's college basketball predictions project each team's final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.

North Dakota State vs. San Francisco odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• North Dakota State moneyline: +320 (BetMGM)
• San Francisco moneyline: -400 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• North Dakota State +8.5: -106 (FanDuel)
• San Francisco -8.5: -106 (BetRivers)
• Over 146.5 points: -105 (DraftKings)
• Under 146.5 points: -112 (FanDuel)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

North Dakota State vs. San Francisco pick: San Francisco -8.5 (-106)

Our model makes San Francisco the likelier winner, and our best value bet is the Bison to cover the -8.5 spread at -106 on BetRivers, too.

Those odds give San Francisco an implied cover probability of 51.5%, while our model puts it at 54.8%.

That's a 3.3% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

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North Dakota State vs. San Francisco game details

• Matchup: North Dakota State Bison vs. San Francisco Dons
• Date: Friday, November 6, 2026
• Time: 10:00 PM ET
• Venue: War Memorial at the Sobrato Center

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our men's college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

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