Troy vs. North Carolina State prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 13, 2026

North Carolina State is favored to beat Troy at Lenovo Center on Friday (7:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' men's college basketball model.

Our Troy vs. North Carolina State prediction gives the Trojans a 96.3% chance of coming out on top, while the latest odds suggest there's betting value on the over 148.5 points.

Troy vs. North Carolina State key predictions

• Predicted score: North Carolina State 86-65 Troy
• North Carolina State win probability: 96.3%
• Troy win probability: 3.7%
• Troy +22.5 spread: 52.0% cover probability
• Over 148.5 points: 54.7% probability

Our men's college basketball predictions project each team's final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.

Troy vs. North Carolina State odds

Below are the best available prices across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• Troy moneyline: +2400 (FanDuel)
• North Carolina State moneyline: -5000 (DraftKings)
• Troy +22.5: -108 (DraftKings)
• North Carolina State -22.5: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Over 148.5 points: -109 (BetRivers)
• Under 148.5 points: -108 (DraftKings)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Troy vs. North Carolina State pick: Over 148.5 (-109)

Our model makes North Carolina State the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the over 148.5 total points at -109 on BetRivers.

Those odds give the over an implied probability of 52.2%, while our model puts it at 54.7%.

That's a 2.5% edge, the biggest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

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Troy vs. North Carolina State game details

• Matchup: Troy Trojans vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack
• Date: Friday, November 13, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• Venue: Lenovo Center

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our men's college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.