UC Davis vs. Sacramento State prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 14, 2026

Sacramento State is favored to beat UC Davis at Hornet Pavilion on Saturday (8:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' men's college basketball model.

Our UC Davis vs. Sacramento State prediction gives the Aggies a 61.4% chance of winning, while the latest odds suggest there's betting value on the under 160.5 points.

UC Davis vs. Sacramento State key predictions

• Predicted score: Sacramento State 80-77 UC Davis
• Sacramento State win probability: 61.4%
• UC Davis win probability: 38.6%
• Sacramento State -2.5 spread: 54.9% cover probability
• Under 160.5 points: 54.0% probability

Our men's college basketball predictions project each team's final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.

UC Davis vs. Sacramento State odds

Below are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets.

• UC Davis moneyline: +142 (DraftKings)
• Sacramento State moneyline: -160 (FanDuel)
• UC Davis +2.5: -104 (BetRivers)
• Sacramento State -2.5: -120 (BetRivers)
• Over 160.5 points: -113 (BetRivers)
• Under 160.5 points: -110 (BetRivers)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

UC Davis vs. Sacramento State pick: Under 160.5 (-110)

Our model makes Sacramento State the more likely winner, but our best value bet is the under 160.5 total points at -110 on BetRivers.

Those odds give the under an implied probability of 52.4%, while our model rates it at 54.0%.

That's a 1.7% edge (accounting for rounding), the biggest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this matchup.

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UC Davis vs. Sacramento State game details

• Matchup: UC Davis Aggies vs. Sacramento State
• Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET
• Venue: Hornet Pavilion

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our men's college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.