Vermont vs. Fairfield prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 5, 2026

Fairfield is favored to beat Vermont at Leo D. Mahoney Arena on Thursday (7:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' men's college basketball model.

Our Vermont vs. Fairfield prediction gives Fairfield a 56.2% chance of winning, and the latest odds suggest there's betting value on Fairfield to cover at +1.5, too.

Vermont vs. Fairfield key predictions

• Predicted score: Fairfield 73-72 Vermont
• Fairfield win probability: 56.2%
• Vermont win probability: 43.8%
• Fairfield +1.5 spread: 58.1% cover probability
• Over 141.5 points: 56.2% probability

Our men's college basketball predictions project each team's final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.

Vermont vs. Fairfield odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• Vermont moneyline: -105 (FanDuel)
• Fairfield moneyline: -102 (BetMGM)
• Vermont -1.5: -105 (BetMGM)
• Fairfield +1.5: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Over 141.5 points: -105 (BetMGM)
• Under 141.5 points: -105 (FanDuel)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Vermont vs. Fairfield pick: Fairfield +1.5 (-110)

Our model makes Fairfield the likelier winner, and our best value bet is Fairfield to cover the +1.5 spread at -110 on Caesars Sportsbook, too.

Those odds give Fairfield an implied cover probability of 52.4%, while our model puts it at 58.1%.

That's a 5.8% edge (accounting for rounding), the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

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• Best bets across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets
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Vermont vs. Fairfield game details

• Matchup: Vermont Catamounts vs. Fairfield
• Date: Thursday, November 5, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• Venue: Leo D. Mahoney Arena

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our men's college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

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