Virginia Commonwealth vs. Memphis prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 7, 2026

Virginia Commonwealth is favored to beat Memphis at FedExForum on Saturday (3:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' men's college basketball model.

Our Virginia Commonwealth vs. Memphis prediction gives the Rams a 58.1% chance of winning, and the latest odds suggest there's betting value on Virginia Commonwealth moneyline, too.

Virginia Commonwealth vs. Memphis key predictions

• Predicted score: Virginia Commonwealth 79-77 Memphis
• Virginia Commonwealth win probability: 58.1%
• Memphis win probability: 41.9%
• Virginia Commonwealth -0.5 spread: 52.4% cover probability
• Under 158.5 points: 51.6% probability

Our men's college basketball predictions project each team's final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.

Virginia Commonwealth vs. Memphis odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• Virginia Commonwealth moneyline: -132 (BetRivers)
• Memphis moneyline: +120 (DraftKings)
• Virginia Commonwealth -0.5: -130 (BetRivers)
• Memphis +0.5: +105 (BetRivers)
• Over 158.5 points: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Under 158.5 points: -108 (DraftKings)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Virginia Commonwealth vs. Memphis pick: Virginia Commonwealth ML (-132)

Our model makes Virginia Commonwealth the likelier winner, and our best value bet is the Rams moneyline at -132 on BetRivers, too.

Those odds give Virginia Commonwealth an implied win probability of 56.9%, while our model puts it at 58.1%.

That's a 1.2% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

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Virginia Commonwealth vs. Memphis game details

• Matchup: Virginia Commonwealth Rams vs. Memphis Tigers
• Date: Saturday, November 7, 2026
• Time: 3:00 PM ET
• Venue: FedExForum

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our men's college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.