Texas State vs. UTSA Prediction, Picks & Odds
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Texas State vs. UTSA prediction & analysis
Game overview: Men's college basketball Sunday
- Teams: Texas State vs. UTSA
- Date: Sunday, November 15, 2026
- Tip-off: 8:00PM ET
- Venue: UTSA Convocation Center
Current betting odds
- Spread: Texas State (-3.5, -110), UTSA (+3.5, -104)
- Total (Over/Under): 148.5 points (-110/-108)
- Moneyline: Texas State -162, UTSA +155
Dimers’ win probabilities
- Texas State: 63.1%
- UTSA: 36.9%
Our college basketball win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team's offensive and defensive performance, along with factors such as recent form, player availability, home-court advantage, and matchup dynamics.
The model uses these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, spread, total points, and final score.
Projected Final Score
Our model projects the final score for this college basketball matchup as Texas State 75 and UTSA 72.
This is a margin of 3 points against a spread of 3.5, and a projected total of 147 points against a market line of 148.5.
A projected score is the middle of a range, not a forecast of the exact result. Use it to see how the game is likely to play out and how each side projects against the spread.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives Texas State a win probability of 63.1%, while UTSA has a win probability of 36.9%.
Summary
According to our analysis, Texas State is more likely to beat UTSA in the men's college basketball game at UTSA Convocation Center on Sunday.
Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Texas State vs. UTSA predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert men's college basketball predictions and the best men's college basketball bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes men's college basketball props, men's college basketball futures, men's college basketball odds, and the latest men's college basketball news.