Indiana State vs. Ball State Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' Indiana State vs. Ball State prediction for Friday, November 6, 2026. Win probabilities, projected final score, current odds, and picks from our college basketball machine learning model.
STARTS IN 28m
MEN'S CBB
STARTS IN 28m
CBB sport icon
MEN'S CBB
Indiana State INST
Predicted score
72
:
74
John E. Worthen Arena
Ball State BALL
John E. Worthen Arena
Pre-Game Probabilities Last updated:

Spread

Indiana State +1.5
Spread
  • Indiana State
    51.0%
    FanDuelFanDuel
  • Ball State
    49.0%
    BetRiversBetRivers

Indiana State vs. Ball State prediction & analysis

Game overview: Men's college basketball Friday

  • Teams: Indiana State vs. Ball State
  • Date: Friday, November 6, 2026
  • Tip-off: 7:00PM ET
  • Venue: John E. Worthen Arena

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Indiana State (+1.5, -102), Ball State (-1.5, -112)
  • Total (Over/Under): 148 points (-110/-110)
  • Moneyline: Indiana State +110, Ball State -128

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Indiana State: 43.5%
  • Ball State: 56.5%

Our college basketball win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team's offensive and defensive performance, along with factors such as recent form, player availability, home-court advantage, and matchup dynamics.

The model uses these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, spread, total points, and final score.

Projected Final Score

Our model projects the final score for this college basketball matchup as Indiana State 72 and Ball State 73.

This is a margin of 1 points against a spread of 1.5, and a projected total of 145 points against a market line of 148.

A projected score is the middle of a range, not a forecast of the exact result. Use it to see how the game is likely to play out and how each side projects against the spread.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Indiana State a win probability of 43.5%, while Ball State has a win probability of 56.5%.

Summary

According to our analysis, Ball State is more likely to beat Indiana State in the men's college basketball game at John E. Worthen Arena on Friday.

Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Indiana State vs. Ball State predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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For further insights, explore our expert men's college basketball predictions and the best men's college basketball bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes men's college basketball props, men's college basketball futures, men's college basketball odds, and the latest men's college basketball news.