Alabama State vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff prediction: Why Alabama State is favored to win in college football Week 7 [2026]

Arkansas-Pine Bluff and Alabama State will lock horns in Week 7 college football action at Simmons Bank Field on Saturday, starting at 3:00 PM ET.

Dimers' proven college football model projects Alabama State as the most likely winner in this Alabama State vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff prediction.

This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Alabama State vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff prediction and odds

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Alabama State vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Alabama State a 55.1% chance of defeating Arkansas-Pine Bluff. Our predicted final score has Alabama State winning 28-26. According to our model, Arkansas-Pine Bluff (+5.5) has a 56.4% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 59.5 points has a 62.8% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Alabama State -5.5 (+135) / Arkansas-Pine Bluff +5.5 (-147)
• Moneyline: Alabama State -133, Arkansas-Pine Bluff +127
• Total: Over/Under 59.5 (+163/-186)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Alabama State -5.5 @ 43¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ 44¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 59.5 @ 38¢ via Novig

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Alabama State -5.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football action between Arkansas-Pine Bluff and Alabama State at Simmons Bank Field is scheduled to start at 3:00 PM ET.

• Who: Alabama State vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff
• Date: Saturday, October 17, 2026
• Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
• Venue: Simmons Bank Field

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Conclusion

We predict Alabama State, with a 55.1% win probability, will likely beat Arkansas-Pine Bluff in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.