College football player props today: Week 9 Friday best props include Duke Watson [10/30/2026]

Duke Watson over 67.5 rushing yards (-114)

• Edge: 15.9%
• Probability: 69.2%
• Game: Baylor vs. UCF (7:30PM ET)

Our model has found value on UCF's Duke Watson over 67.5 rushing yards. A probability of 69.2% gives this play an edge of 15.9% at -114 odds.

Henry Rutledge over 47.5 rushing yards (-114)

• Edge: 14.3%
• Probability: 67.6%
• Game: Tulane vs. Charlotte (7:00PM ET)

Henry Rutledge’s rushing yards prop shows a 67.6% probability and an 14.3% edge at -114 odds, according to our model.

Louis Brown IV over 39.5 receiving yards (-114)

• Edge: 14.0%
• Probability: 67.3%
• Game: Baylor vs. UCF (7:30PM ET)

The data highlights value on Louis Brown IV over 39.5 receiving yards, with simulations showing a 67.3% probability and a 14.0% edge at -114.

Josh Derry over 5.5 receptions (-114)

• Edge: 12.2%
• Probability: 65.4%
• Game: Baylor vs. UCF (7:30PM ET)

Our model finds value on Josh Derry over 5.5 receptions, with a 65.4% probability and an edge of 12.2% at -114 odds.

Johnnie Daniels under 59.5 rushing yards (-114)

• Edge: 11.5%
• Probability: 64.8%
• Game: Tulane vs. Charlotte (7:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Johnnie Daniels under 59.5 rushing yards for Tulane, showing an edge of 11.5% at -114 odds.

Wayne Harris over 73.5 receiving yards (-112)

• Edge: 11.7%
• Probability: 64.5%
• Game: Kent State vs. Sacramento State (10:30PM ET)

Wayne Harris’s receiving yards prop shows an edge of 11.7% at -112 odds, supported by a 64.5% probability according to our model.

Josh Derry over 54.5 receiving yards (-114)

• Edge: 10.1%
• Probability: 63.4%
• Game: Baylor vs. UCF (7:30PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Josh Derry over 54.5 receiving yards for UCF, with a 63.4% probability and a 10.1% edge at -114 odds.

Destyn Hill over 47.5 receiving yards (-114)

• Edge: 9.1%
• Probability: 62.4%
• Game: Tulane vs. Charlotte (7:00PM ET)

The data shows value on Destyn Hill over 47.5 receiving yards, supported by a 62.4% probability at -114 odds and an edge of 9.1%.

Wayne Harris anytime touchdown scorer (+105)

• Edge: 13.5%
• Probability: 62.3%
• Game: Kent State vs. Sacramento State (10:30PM ET)

A 13.5% edge on the anytime touchdown line makes Wayne Harris a value play in Kent State vs. Sacramento State, supported by a 62.3% probability at +105 odds.

Caden Knighten over 22.5 rushing yards (-114)

• Edge: 8.5%
• Probability: 61.8%
• Game: Baylor vs. UCF (7:30PM ET)

Simulations show value on Caden Knighten over 22.5 rushing yards here, with a 61.8% probability and 8.5% edge at -114 odds.

College Football player prop summary: Week 9, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 2:17AM ET:

More college football betting

For further insights into this week's NCAAF action, check out the latest from the Dimers Sports Betting Podcast:

College football promo for Week 9

Today's player props include Duke Watson over 67.5 rushing yards. Make the most of them with the Underdog Fantasy offer below:

Conclusion

For October 30, 2026, our college football prop bets feature players such as Duke Watson, Henry Rutledge and Louis Brown IV. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.