Ball State vs. Northwestern prediction favors Northwestern to win in college football Week 6 [2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects a 98.5% win probability for Northwestern at Ryan Field.

Northwestern will square off with Ball State in Week 6 college football action at Ryan Field on Saturday, commencing at 12:30 PM ET.
Dimers' advanced college football model projects Northwestern as the most likely winner in this Ball State vs. Northwestern prediction.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Ball State vs. Northwestern prediction and odds
Our leading predictive model gives Northwestern a 98.5% chance of beating Ball State. Our predicted final score has Northwestern winning 43-9. According to our model, Ball State (+35.5) has a 54.6% chance of covering the spread, while the 53.5-point over/under has a 50.3% chance of going over.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Ball State +35.5 (-122) / Northwestern -35.5 (+100)
- Moneyline: Ball State +3500, Northwestern -20000
- Total: Over/Under 53.5 (-107/-110)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Ball State +35.5 @ -122 via FanDuel
- Moneyline: Northwestern @ -20000 via FanDuel
- Total: Over 53.5 @ -107 via Caesars
According to our best college football bets, the top play to make on this game is Ball State +35.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & kickoff details
Saturday's college football action between Northwestern and Ball State at Ryan Field is scheduled to begin at 12:30 PM ET.
- Who: Ball State vs. Northwestern
- Date: Saturday, October 10, 2026
- Time: 12:30 PM ET/9:30AM PT
- Venue: Ryan Field
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Conclusion
We predict Northwestern, with a 98.5% win probability, will likely beat Ball State in Saturday's college football matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.



