Cal Poly vs. Idaho State prediction: Why Idaho State is favored to win in college football Week 6 [2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Cal Poly vs. Idaho State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Idaho State an 85.1% chance of beating Cal Poly. Our predicted final score has Idaho State winning 38-23. According to our model, Idaho State (-14.5) has a 50.3% chance of covering the spread, while the 63.5-point over/under has a 53.8% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Cal Poly +14.5 (-123) / Idaho State -14.5 (+100)
• Moneyline: Cal Poly +408, Idaho State -590
• Total: Over/Under 63.5 (-102/-121)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Idaho State -14.5 @ +100 via bet365
• Moneyline: Idaho State @ -590 via Caesars
• Total: Under 63.5 @ -121 via DraftKings

According to our best college football bets, the top play to make on this game is Idaho State -14.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football action between Idaho State and Cal Poly at ICCU Dome is scheduled to start at 6:00 PM ET.

• Who: Cal Poly vs. Idaho State
• Date: Saturday, October 10, 2026
• Time: 6:00 PM ET/3:00PM PT
• Venue: ICCU Dome

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Conclusion

We predict Idaho State, with an 85.1% win probability, will likely beat Cal Poly in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.