Central Arkansas vs. Tarleton State prediction: Why Tarleton State is favored to win in college football Week 7 [2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Central Arkansas vs. Tarleton State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Tarleton State a 90.1% chance of beating Central Arkansas. Our predicted final score has Tarleton State winning 39-20. According to our model, Central Arkansas (+19.5) has a 52.2% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 61.5 points has a 53.4% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Central Arkansas +19.5 (-111) / Tarleton State -19.5 (-110)
• Moneyline: Central Arkansas +700, Tarleton State -1040
• Total: Over/Under 61.5 (+105/-129)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Central Arkansas +19.5 @ -111 via DraftKings
• Moneyline: Tarleton State @ -1040 via DraftKings
• Total: Over 61.5 @ +105 via bet365

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Central Arkansas +19.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football matchup between Tarleton State and Central Arkansas at Memorial Stadium is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Central Arkansas vs. Tarleton State
• Date: Saturday, October 17, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Memorial Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Tarleton State, with a 90.1% win probability, will likely beat Central Arkansas in Saturday's college football matchup.

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This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.