San Jose State vs. Texas-El Paso prediction: Why San Jose State is favored to win in college football Week 7 [2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of San Jose State vs. Texas-El Paso, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives San Jose State a 70.3% chance of beating Texas-El Paso. Our predicted final score has San Jose State winning 26-20. According to our model, Texas-El Paso (+10.5) has a 61.1% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 53.5 points has a 65.4% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: San Jose State -10.5 (+147) / Texas-El Paso +10.5 (-160)
• Moneyline: San Jose State -257, Texas-El Paso +245
• Total: Over/Under 53.5 (+212/-233)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Texas-El Paso +10.5 @ 61¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Texas-El Paso @ 29¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 53.5 @ 32¢ via Novig

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 53.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football game between Texas-El Paso and San Jose State at Sun Bowl is scheduled to start at 9:00 PM ET.

• Who: San Jose State vs. Texas-El Paso
• Date: Saturday, October 17, 2026
• Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
• Venue: Sun Bowl

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Conclusion

We predict San Jose State, with a 70.3% win probability, will likely beat Texas-El Paso in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.