Colorado State vs. Texas State prediction: Why Texas State is favored to win in college football Week 7 [2026]

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Colorado State vs. Texas State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Texas State an 86.4% chance of defeating Colorado State. Our predicted final score has Texas State winning 41-26. According to our model, Texas State (-14) has a 53.7% chance of covering the spread, while the 70.5-point over/under has a 56.5% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Colorado State +14 (-112) / Texas State -14 (-110)
• Moneyline: Colorado State +600, Texas State -650
• Total: Over/Under 70.5 (-109/-112)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Texas State -14 @ -110 via BetRivers
• Moneyline: Texas State @ -650 via bet365
• Total: Under 70.5 @ -112 via BetRivers

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 70.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Thursday's college football matchup between Texas State and Colorado State at UFCU Stadium is scheduled to start at 8:00 PM ET.

• Who: Colorado State vs. Texas State
• Date: Thursday, October 15, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
• Venue: UFCU Stadium

College football Week 7 promos

Make the most of Dimers' Colorado State vs. Texas State predictions by exploring the Bet365 Sportsbook offer below:

Conclusion

We predict Texas State, with an 86.4% win probability, will likely beat Colorado State in Thursday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.