Morehead State vs. Dayton prediction favors Dayton to win in college football Week 6 [2026]

Dayton and Morehead State will meet in Week 6 college football action at Welcome Stadium on Saturday, with kickoff at 12:00 PM ET.

Dimers' proven college football model projects Dayton as the most likely winner in this Morehead State vs. Dayton prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Morehead State vs. Dayton prediction and odds

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Morehead State vs. Dayton, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Dayton a 95.2% chance of beating Morehead State. Our predicted final score has Dayton winning 38-15. According to our model, Morehead State (+24.5) has a 56.5% chance of covering the spread, while the 54.5-point over/under has a 50.5% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Morehead State +24.5 (-110) / Dayton -24.5 (-112)
• Moneyline: Morehead State +1180, Dayton -3000
• Total: Over/Under 54.5 (-108/-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Morehead State +24.5 @ -110 via Caesars
• Moneyline: Dayton @ -3000 via bet365
• Total: Under 54.5 @ -110 via Caesars

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Morehead State +24.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football action between Dayton and Morehead State at Welcome Stadium is scheduled to start at 12:00 PM ET.

• Who: Morehead State vs. Dayton
• Date: Saturday, October 10, 2026
• Time: 12:00 PM ET/9:00AM PT
• Venue: Welcome Stadium

College football Week 6 promos

Make the most of Dimers' Morehead State vs. Dayton predictions by exploring the Underdog Fantasy offer below:

In Texas or Oklahoma? Check out this exclusive offer where you can secure $25 in Predictions Dollars as soon as either team scores in today's Sooners-Longhorns clash.

Conclusion

We predict Dayton, with a 95.2% win probability, will likely beat Morehead State in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.