Sep 19, 2026
Purdue vs. UCLA prediction favors UCLA to win in college football Week 3 [2026]
Read Article Nevada vs. Middle Tennessee prediction: Why Nevada is favored to win in college football Week 3 [2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Dimers' simulation model projects a 62.6% win probability for Nevada at Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium.
Middle Tennessee will square off with Nevada in Week 3 college football action at Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium on Saturday, commencing at 7:00 PM ET.
Dimers' proven college football model projects Nevada as the most likely winner in this Nevada vs. Middle Tennessee prediction.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Nevada vs. Middle Tennessee prediction and odds
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Nevada vs. Middle Tennessee, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.
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Our leading predictive model currently gives Nevada a 62.6% chance of defeating Middle Tennessee. Our predicted final score has Nevada winning 27-24. According to our model, Middle Tennessee (+4.5) has a 52.0% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 50.5 points has a 52.2% chance of going over.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Nevada -4.5 (-107) / Middle Tennessee +4.5 (-112)
- Moneyline: Nevada -172, Middle Tennessee +150
- Total: Over/Under 50.5 (-106/-106)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Middle Tennessee +4.5 @ -112 via BetRivers
- Moneyline: Middle Tennessee @ +150 via bet365
- Total: Over 50.5 @ -106 via Caesars
According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 50.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & kickoff details
Saturday's college football matchup between Middle Tennessee and Nevada at Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Nevada vs. Middle Tennessee
- Date: Saturday, September 19, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
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Conclusion
We predict Nevada, with a 62.6% win probability, will likely beat Middle Tennessee in Saturday's college football matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.
Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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