Polymarket "Trade of the Day" for College Football Week 3 finds value in Colorado vs. Northwestern

Week 3 of college football is here, with college football predictions data from Dimers to back up every move you make from Thursday's kickoff through the all-day Saturday slate, whether making long-term championship picks or trading college football on prediction markets.

Prediction markets are on the rise and with more capital moving through platforms like Polymarket than ever before, this is shaping up to be the most-traded college football season yet.

Dimers' "Trade of the Day" is off to a 2-1 start to the season and we're back for another on Saturday, September 19 in Colorado vs. Northwestern.

To maximize today's trade value on Polymarket, sign up with the invite code "DIMERS" to get a $50 trading bonus after your initial $10 deposit.

Why trade on Colorado vs. Northwestern in Week 3

Colorado's offensive coordinator Brendan Marion has bounced around between a number of programs, but his resume includes one signature moment: as offensive coordinator at Howard, he helped orchestrate the biggest moneyline upset in college football history, a game in which 45-point underdogs won outright against UNLV back in 2017.

Now he's up against Chip Kelly at Northwestern, one of the biggest names in football at any level. Both coaches are in their first year at their respective programs.

Kelly chose to work with QB Aidan Chiles, a big-play guy who takes risks, while on the other sideline, Colorado counters with former five-star recruit Julian Lewis in a similar role.

Both defenses in this game are prone to giving up chunk plays, and both offenses are built around two play-callers who thrive on generating them. That combination points to a high-scoring, entertaining game, and potentially one of the best watches of the week.

The opening total at Over 48.5 carries a 55% win probability according to the simulation, a two-point edge over the market's current implied probability of 53%.

Week 3 Trade of the Day: Northwestern-Colorado 

• Dimers probability: 55%
• Polymarket trading price:  53¢
• Edge on Polymarket: 2%

While the total has moved a bit since opening, the Dimers model's prediction has held strong, finding an edge at the original 48.5, and still at the current 47.5.

On Polymarket, the over 47.5 is priced at an implied 53% probability as of publishing, while Dimers' model puts the true probability of the over hitting at 55%, a two-percentage-point edge over the market price. 

Our average scoring projection puts the combined output at 50 points in a 27-23 Northwestern victory, so bettors looking beyond the current line, or looking to get a larger payout at the original 48.5, can entertain that number as well.

Polymarket Disclaimer

This article is part of a paid partnership with Polymarket.

18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See Terms of Use for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization