Idaho State vs. Montana prediction: Why Montana is favored to win in college football Week 11 [2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Idaho State vs. Montana, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Montana a 74.5% chance of beating Idaho State. Our predicted final score has Montana winning 35-27. According to our model, Montana (-7.5) has a 50.8% chance of covering the spread, while the 65.5-point over/under has a 55.8% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Idaho State +7.5 (-108) / Montana -7.5 (+100)
• Moneyline: Idaho State +251, Montana -270
• Total: Over/Under 65.5 (-105/-117)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Montana -7.5 @ +100 via BetRivers
• Moneyline: Montana @ 73¢ via Novig
• Total: Under 65.5 @ -117 via BetRivers

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 65.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football game between Montana and Idaho State at Washington-Grizzly Stadium is scheduled to start at 10:30 PM ET.

• Who: Idaho State vs. Montana
• Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026
• Time: 10:30 PM ET/7:30 PM PT
• Venue: Washington-Grizzly Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Montana, with a 74.5% win probability, will likely beat Idaho State in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary college football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.