Wake Forest vs. SMU prediction favors Southern Methodist to win in college football Week 11 [2026]

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Written by Mac Douglass

Dimers' simulation model projects a 51.7% win probability for Southern Methodist at Gerald J. Ford Stadium.

Wake Forest takes on SMU in college football action.
Wake Forest vs. SMU college football gameday prediction for Saturday, November 14, 2026.

Southern Methodist and Wake Forest will clash in Week 11 college football action at Gerald J. Ford Stadium on Saturday, commencing at 12:00 PM ET.

Dimers' proven college football model gives Southern Methodist a slight edge with a 51.7% win probability over Wake Forest.

This article offers a complete Wake Forest vs. SMU prediction, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Wake Forest vs. SMU prediction and odds

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Wake Forest vs. SMU, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Southern Methodist a 51.7% chance of beating Wake Forest. Our predicted final score has Southern Methodist winning 30-29. According to our model, Wake Forest (+1.5) has a 50.9% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 60.5 points has a 51.0% chance of staying under.

 

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Spread: Wake Forest +1.5 (+100) / SMU -1.5 (-102)
  • Moneyline: Wake Forest +111, SMU -113
  • Total: Over/Under 60.5 (+100/-102)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Spread: Wake Forest +1.5 @ +100 via FanDuel
  • Moneyline: Wake Forest @ 48¢ via Novig
  • Total: Under 60.5 @ 50¢ via Novig

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Wake Forest to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football game between SMU and Wake Forest at Gerald J. Ford Stadium is scheduled to commence at 12:00 PM ET.

  • Who: Wake Forest vs. Southern Methodist
  • Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026
  • Time: 12:00 PM ET/9:00 AM PT
  • Venue: Gerald J. Ford Stadium

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Make the most of Dimers' Wake Forest vs. Southern Methodist predictions by exploring the Underdog Fantasy offer below:


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Conclusion

We predict Southern Methodist, with a 51.7% win probability, will likely beat Wake Forest in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary college football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.

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Written by
Mac Douglass
Senior Editor

Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.

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