Sacramento State vs. Central Michigan prediction: Why Central Michigan is favored to win in college football Week 11 [2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Sacramento State vs. Central Michigan, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Central Michigan a 91.2% chance of beating Sacramento State. Our predicted final score has Central Michigan winning 31-13. According to our model, Central Michigan (-17.5) has a 51.6% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 44.5 points has a 51.1% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Sacramento State +17.5 (+104) / Central Michigan -17.5 (-106)
• Moneyline: Sacramento State +809, Central Michigan -900
• Total: Over/Under 44.5 (+102/-106)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Central Michigan -17.5 @ 51¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Central Michigan @ 90¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 44.5 @ 50¢ via Novig

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 44.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Wednesday's college football matchup between Central Michigan and Sacramento State at Kelly/Shorts Stadium is scheduled to begin at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: Sacramento State vs. Central Michigan
• Date: Wednesday, November 11, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30 PM PT
• Venue: Kelly/Shorts Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Central Michigan, with a 91.2% win probability, will likely beat Sacramento State in Wednesday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary college football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.