South Dakota State vs. North Dakota prediction favors South Dakota State to win in college football Week 7 [2026]

North Dakota and South Dakota State will clash in Week 7 college football action at Alerus Center on Saturday, with kickoff at 2:00 PM ET.

Dimers' proven college football model projects South Dakota State as the most likely winner in this South Dakota State vs. North Dakota prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

South Dakota State vs. North Dakota prediction and odds

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the result of South Dakota State vs. North Dakota, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives South Dakota State a 79.7% chance of defeating North Dakota. Our predicted final score has South Dakota State winning 33-22. According to our model, North Dakota (+14) has a 56.3% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 56.5 points has a 51.2% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: South Dakota State -14 (-119) / North Dakota +14 (-104)
• Moneyline: South Dakota State -456, North Dakota +441
• Total: Over/Under 56.5 (+130/-133)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: North Dakota +14 @ -104 via DraftKings
• Moneyline: North Dakota @ 18¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 56.5 @ 44¢ via Novig

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is North Dakota +14 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football game between North Dakota and South Dakota State at Alerus Center is scheduled to begin at 2:00 PM ET.

• Who: South Dakota State vs. North Dakota
• Date: Saturday, October 17, 2026
• Time: 2:00 PM ET/11:00AM PT
• Venue: Alerus Center

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Conclusion

We predict South Dakota State, with a 79.7% win probability, will likely beat North Dakota in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.