UAB vs. Memphis prediction: Why Memphis is favored to win in college football Week 6 [2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects an 85.7% win probability for Memphis at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium.

Memphis will take on UAB in Week 6 college football action at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium on Saturday, commencing at 7:00 PM ET.
Dimers' proven college football model projects Memphis as the most likely winner in this UAB vs. Memphis prediction.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
UAB vs. Memphis prediction and odds
Our independent predictive model gives Memphis an 85.7% chance of beating UAB. Our predicted final score has Memphis winning 35-20. According to our model, UAB (+15.5) has a 51.6% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 54.5 points has a 53.1% chance of going over.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: UAB +15.5 (-110) / Memphis -15.5 (-107)
- Moneyline: UAB +600, Memphis -700
- Total: Over/Under 54.5 (-110/-105)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: UAB +15.5 @ -110 via BetRivers
- Moneyline: UAB @ +600 via BetRivers
- Total: Over 54.5 @ -110 via BetRivers
According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 54.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & kickoff details
Saturday's college football matchup between Memphis and UAB at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: UAB vs. Memphis
- Date: Saturday, October 10, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
College football Week 6 promos
Make the most of Dimers' UAB vs. Memphis predictions by exploring the Underdog Fantasy offer below:
Conclusion
We predict Memphis, with an 85.7% win probability, will likely beat UAB in Saturday's college football matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.



