Sacramento State vs. Fresno State Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our in-depth analysis offers a comprehensive prediction for the Sacramento State vs. Fresno State NCAAF game on September 12, 2026. Drawing from 10,000 simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.

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Sacramento State
Predicted score
14
:
33
Valley Children's Stadium
Fresno State
Valley Children's Stadium
Pre-Game Probabilities Last Update:

Spread

Sacramento State +18.5
Spread
  • Sacramento State
    50.0%
    CaesarsCaesars
  • Fresno State
    50.0%
    theScore BettheScore Bet

Sacramento State vs. Fresno State: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Sacramento State vs. Fresno State
  • Date: Saturday, September 12, 2026
  • Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Valley Children's Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Fresno State favored at -18.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 45.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Sacramento State +760, Fresno State -950

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Sacramento State: 9%
  • Fresno State: 91%

Dimers' predictive model estimates win probabilities after simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view of each team's chances.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this college football matchup is Sacramento State 14-33 Fresno State.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Sacramento State a win probability of 9%, while Fresno State has a win probability of 91%.

Summary

According to our analysis, Fresno State is more likely to beat Sacramento State in CFB action at Valley Children's Stadium on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Sacramento State vs. Fresno State predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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