Montana State vs. Nevada Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our in-depth analysis offers a comprehensive prediction for the Montana State vs. Nevada NCAAF game on September 12, 2026. Drawing from 10,000 simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.

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Montana State
Predicted score
27
:
22
Mackay Stadium
Nevada
Mackay Stadium
Pre-Game Probabilities Last Update:

Spread

Nevada +5.0
Spread
  • Montana State
    49.1%
    BetRiversBetRivers
  • Nevada
    50.9%
    BetRiversBetRivers

Montana State vs. Nevada: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Montana State vs. Nevada
  • Date: Saturday, September 12, 2026
  • Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Mackay Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Montana State favored at -5
  • Total (Over/Under): 50.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Montana State -189, Nevada +165

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Montana State: 62%
  • Nevada: 38%

Dimers' predictive model estimates win probabilities after simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view of each team's chances.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this college football matchup is Montana State 27-22 Nevada.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Montana State a win probability of 62%, while Nevada has a win probability of 38%.

Summary

According to our analysis, Montana State is more likely to beat Nevada in CFB action at Mackay Stadium on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Montana State vs. Nevada predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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