New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston State: College Football Week 8 Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston State prediction for Wednesday, October 21, 2026. Win probabilities, projected final score, current odds, and picks from our College Football machine learning models.
FINAL
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
FINAL
CFB sport icon
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
New Mexico State
30
24
Elliott T. Bowers Stadium
Sam Houston State
Elliott T. Bowers Stadium
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • New Mexico State
    100%
  • Sam Houston State
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
New Mexico State
0 14 16 0 30
Sam Houston State
7 3 7 7 24
1 0 2 0 3 0 4 0 5 0 4 0 3 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 2 0 3 0 4 0 5 0 4 0 3 0 2 0 1 0
Sam Houston State
New Mexico State
1st and 10 at the SHSU 31
Last Play
J.Jones rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by J.Terrell at SHSU 31.

New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston State: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: College Football Week 8

  • Teams: New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston State
  • Date: Wednesday, October 21, 2026
  • Time: 8:00PM ET
  • Venue: Elliott T. Bowers Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Spread: New Mexico State (-2.5, -127), Sam Houston State (+2.5, +122)
  • Moneyline: New Mexico State -150, Sam Houston State +147
  • Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points (+147/-153)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • New Mexico State: 62.0%
  • Sam Houston State: 38.0%

These probabilities come from two machine learning models that assess more than 100 data points for each college football matchup, combining their outputs to project all our major betting markets.

Projected final score

Our predicted final score for this college football matchup is New Mexico State 26-21 Sam Houston State.

This prediction draws on each team's scoring trends and player stats, weighed across both of our data models

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

The numbers give the New Mexico State a win probability of 62.0%, while the Sam Houston State have a win probability of 38.0%.

Summary

New Mexico State faces off against Sam Houston State in college football action at Elliott T. Bowers Stadium on Wednesday, October 21, 2026.

Our New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston State predictions, built on real-time data and matchup-specific modeling, help guide your decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert college football predictions and the best college football bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes college football props, college football futures, college football odds, and the latest college football news.