Leeds vs. Crystal Palace prediction, odds, Premier League picks [9/20/2026]

Leeds will face Crystal Palace in Premier League action at Elland Road on Sunday, starting at 9:00 AM ET.

Dimers' advanced Premier League model projects Leeds as the most likely winner in this Leeds vs. Crystal Palace prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.

Leeds vs. Crystal Palace prediction and odds

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Sunday's Premier League match between Leeds and Crystal Palace, forming part of our Premier League predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model suggests a 53.0% chance of Leeds winning, a 23.7% chance for Crystal Palace, and a 23.3% chance of a draw. Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 55.2% chance of going over., with a 55.8% chance that both teams find the net.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Crystal Palace +426, Leeds +104
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-108/+122)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Crystal Palace @ +426 via Novig
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -108 via Polymarket

According to our best Premier League bets, the top play to make on this game is Crystal Palace to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Leeds 1-1 Crystal Palace (11% probability)
• Leeds 1-0 Crystal Palace (9.9%)
• Leeds 2-1 Crystal Palace (9.8%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 55.8% chance of both sides finding the net and a 44.2% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Sunday's Premier League game between Leeds and Crystal Palace at Elland Road is scheduled to commence in the United States at 9:00 AM ET.

• Who: Leeds vs. Crystal Palace
• Date: Sunday, September 20, 2026
• Time: 9:00 AM ET/6:00AM PT
• Venue: Elland Road

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Leeds has a 53.0% win probability on Sunday, Crystal Palace has a 23.7% win probability, and there is a 23.3% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Premier League prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.